Just one day before inauguration of the bus service from Srinagar to Muzafarabad a horrifying incident of violence occurred in Srinagar and devastated the tourist reception Centre. Had a similar incident occurred a few years back it would have triggered an Indo Pak conflagration. Pakistan previously was blamed for everything that happened in India. Even eruption of Plague, was attributed to ISI. This time there was no blame game and incident didn’t have any adverse impact upon Indo-Pak relations. Few years back it was inconceivable to people to cross LOC that too without a passport. The situation has changed and many more unanticipated events are expected if the present trend Indo-Pak relation persists. Prime reason for this changed scenario is not any desire on the part of India and Pakistan for peaceful co-existence. They are placed in such a situation, that it is impossible for them to go a confrontationist attitude.
In pretext of fighting terrorism American landed in Afghanistan. they are ion mood ,of going back. Donald Rumsfield is seeking permanent military bases in Afghanistan. Presence of an American garrison in the heart of Asia has made every country in the region uneasy. Such a presence is perceived to be a danger for the sovereignty of Asian nations a source of problems for peace and security of the region. Russian and Chinese are equally disturbed. India has an extra reason for being uncomfortable. Whenever there has been an arms buildup around Khyber, it destination has been invariably Panipat. Every invader right from Alexander up to Ahmed Shah Abdeli came through Khyber Pass all of them tried to win a support from North West and proceeded towards Delhi with this support. The army of Ahmed Shah Abdeli had a big contingent of Dogras as auxiliaries. With the advent of American is history going to be repeated at Khyber? History repeats itself and has been repeating itself at Khyber after intervals for past 5000 years. It is this history and here of its repetition that is haunting New Delhi. If Pakistan sides with American there is likely hood of this scenario becoming a reality. If on the other hand New Delhi manages to win over Pakistan to its side, the dangerous situation can be contained at Khyber itself. The strategic location of Pakistan has become its biggest bargaining chip. Musharraf being a military general knows it well. He has fixed a price tag of Kashmir for either of the parties which seek to enlist his support. Previously American could threaten with demands like “be with us are with our adversaries” the way American army has been mauled and mutilated in Iraq has changed the equations. American have been incapacitated, they can buy the support but can’t demand it now. Delivery of F-16s to Pakistan is a price for its support.
Russians & Chinese are persuading India to settle its problems with Pakistan and offer some conversation in context of Kashmir. They know that Pakistan is in a position of tilting of balance of power in Asia. It was Pakistan how support to American during cold war changed the situation to the disadvantage of Russians and catalyzed disintegration of Soviet Union. It is this persuasion of Chinese and Russians which has made India positive towards some symbolic concessions to Pakistan. General Musharraf is not satisfied. He wants them to proceed beyond symbolism. Russian and Chinese want India to oblige the General. It is this context of proceeding beyond symbolism which had to be addressed during one day cricket match between Manmohan Singh and General Musharaff. The question is simple resolve Kashmir dispute win over Pakistan and contains the emerging threat from Afghanistan at Khyber. If India continues to be stubborn and stuck to its traditional stand on Kashmir, Pakistan has no option but to side with Americans. New Delhi in such a scenario has to be ready for a forth epoch making battle at Panipat.
In pretext of fighting terrorism American landed in Afghanistan. they are ion mood ,of going back. Donald Rumsfield is seeking permanent military bases in Afghanistan. Presence of an American garrison in the heart of Asia has made every country in the region uneasy. Such a presence is perceived to be a danger for the sovereignty of Asian nations a source of problems for peace and security of the region. Russian and Chinese are equally disturbed. India has an extra reason for being uncomfortable. Whenever there has been an arms buildup around Khyber, it destination has been invariably Panipat. Every invader right from Alexander up to Ahmed Shah Abdeli came through Khyber Pass all of them tried to win a support from North West and proceeded towards Delhi with this support. The army of Ahmed Shah Abdeli had a big contingent of Dogras as auxiliaries. With the advent of American is history going to be repeated at Khyber? History repeats itself and has been repeating itself at Khyber after intervals for past 5000 years. It is this history and here of its repetition that is haunting New Delhi. If Pakistan sides with American there is likely hood of this scenario becoming a reality. If on the other hand New Delhi manages to win over Pakistan to its side, the dangerous situation can be contained at Khyber itself. The strategic location of Pakistan has become its biggest bargaining chip. Musharraf being a military general knows it well. He has fixed a price tag of Kashmir for either of the parties which seek to enlist his support. Previously American could threaten with demands like “be with us are with our adversaries” the way American army has been mauled and mutilated in Iraq has changed the equations. American have been incapacitated, they can buy the support but can’t demand it now. Delivery of F-16s to Pakistan is a price for its support.
Russians & Chinese are persuading India to settle its problems with Pakistan and offer some conversation in context of Kashmir. They know that Pakistan is in a position of tilting of balance of power in Asia. It was Pakistan how support to American during cold war changed the situation to the disadvantage of Russians and catalyzed disintegration of Soviet Union. It is this persuasion of Chinese and Russians which has made India positive towards some symbolic concessions to Pakistan. General Musharraf is not satisfied. He wants them to proceed beyond symbolism. Russian and Chinese want India to oblige the General. It is this context of proceeding beyond symbolism which had to be addressed during one day cricket match between Manmohan Singh and General Musharaff. The question is simple resolve Kashmir dispute win over Pakistan and contains the emerging threat from Afghanistan at Khyber. If India continues to be stubborn and stuck to its traditional stand on Kashmir, Pakistan has no option but to side with Americans. New Delhi in such a scenario has to be ready for a forth epoch making battle at Panipat.
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